Track record

How each source has actually done on graded picks — no cherry-picking.

Updated daily.

Every graded 1X2 pick each source has made, scored the same way and never blended. Hit rate is how often the pick landed; ROI is what a flat 1-unit stake would have returned at the price we recorded. Both are history, not a forecast.

Hit rate
Share of graded picks that won. Says nothing about price — a 70% hit rate on 1.20 shots loses money.
ROI
Profit per unit staked, flat stakes, at the recorded odds. The number that actually pays rent.
n
Graded picks behind the figure. Anything under ~100 moves a lot with one weekend.
Sources
Tofiko is our model, Alia an outside opinion, Baseline the market-implied favourite. Never mixed together.
Sample size(opens in a new tab)Value betting(opens in a new tab)Closing line value(opens in a new tab)Expected value(opens in a new tab)

By source

1X2 · graded history
Tofikoour model
51%hit rate
n 1,022OK
ROI -1.1%on 1,022 priced picks
Aliaindependent second opinion
42%hit rate
n 1,309OK
ROI -4.4%on 1,309 priced picks
Baselinemarket-implied
51%hit rate
n 1,870OK
ROI -3.4%on 1,870 priced picks

By league

Tofiko 1X2 strength per competition

See where the model is strongest — with PRO

By market

Tofiko — O/U 2.5 · BTTS · Double Chance

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Season profit curve

cumulative units, by week

See where the model is strongest — with PRO