tofiko ~$predict --models=all --market=1x2online▍

Every tip service hides its losing weeks. We don't.

No tips. Just math, and a track record you can audit, losses and all.

Three transparent models across every major league. Match probabilities beside the market's own view, model comparison and your own tracker, in one screen. Browse it all free. We don't sell picks and we don't take a bookmaker's cut. We sell the math.

Open the live app →
Live scores, predictions & your own tracker. No sign-up to look around.
LIVE NOW
— matches in play
MODELS
3 Poisson · DC · Elo
RESULTS
all published, misses too
MARKETS
1X2 · O/U model vs market
● TOFIKO ENGINE · ONLINE2 model families
Scanning the live board
Live—
Models3
Market1X2
→ every prediction settled in public, misses included
▸ EVERY DAY

We publish the day's read, whether it went well or not.

One match a day on Telegram with the model's read, a weekly scorecard of how the calls landed, and short videos on YouTube. Same numbers as the site, nothing held back for subscribers.

Free. No account needed.
▸ 04 / INSIDE TOFIKO

Not a feed of tips. A workbench.

Everything the models see, in one place, instead of ten browser tabs.

Predictions

Home, draw and away probabilities for every modelled match, beside the market's own.

Live

Matches in play, with odds drifting in real time.

Strategy Lab

Backtested strategies with equity curves and full signal lists.

Model Comparison

Where Poisson, Dixon-Coles and Elo agree, and where they split.

Standings & form

Tables, results and run-of-form for every team.

My Picks

Your own tracker. Free.

▸ 05 / MODELS & ACCURACY

Three independent models. One public scoreboard.

Poisson, Dixon-Coles and Elo, each calibrated per league, each scored against finished matches in the open. You can check our work.

FREEConfusion matrix, per-league breakdown and weekly calibration trend live in the Accuracy Dashboard.
▸ 06 / MY PICKS FREE

Your own tracker. Free, it just needs an account.

Star matches, log predictions, record paper bets (stake and odds; never real money, no bookmaker handoff, ever). We auto-settle when the match ends and keep your win-rate, ROI and running P/L.

★ MY PICKSSample: your own picks appear hereSAMPLEFREE ACCOUNT
MATCHPICKPAPER BETRESULTP/L
YOUR LEAGUE
Team A v Team B
PickHOME
Paper bet1.0u @ 2.25
WON2–1
+1.25u
YOUR LEAGUE
Team C v Team D
PickDRAW
Paper bet1.0u @ 3.50
LIVE1–1 · 64'
—
YOUR LEAGUE
Team E v Team F
PickHOME
Paper bet0.5u @ 2.10
OPENSun 15:30
—
YOUR LEAGUE
Team G v Team H
PickOVER 2.5
Paper bet1.0u @ 1.92
LOST0–1
−1.00u
No real money · no bookmaker links · ever
MY PERFORMANCESample · your numbers will differ
58%
win rate
+12.3%
ROI
+8.6%
Bankroll yield
2.31
Avg odds
CUMULATIVE P/L+8.6u
PROWant the model's Suggestions on what to track next? Advanced, the full list lives in Pro.
▸ 07 / STRATEGY LAB

Build a rule. Test it on past matches.

A tool for checking your own ideas against the record, not a list of tips.

1
Build a rule

Pick the leagues, the market, a price range and how sure the model has to be. No code.

2
Test it on past matches

See every match the rule would have picked, how each one ended, and how many there were. A small sample says so.

3
Watch it on new fixtures

The same rule runs on upcoming matches, so you can follow it forward instead of trusting the past.

PRO the full Lab and your own backtests.

▸ 08 / COVERAGE

Every major league, calibrated separately.

Every league we model, across Europe, the Americas, Asia, Africa and Oceania, on every plan. Each league group gets its own Platt calibration, refreshed weekly.

Premier League
La Liga
Bundesliga
Serie A
Ligue 1
Primeira
Eredivisie
Brasileirão
Primera Argentina
Liga MX
Süper Lig
J1 League
+ many more
EVERY PLAN · every covered league
▸ 09 / HOW IT WORKS · WHY TRUST IT

Data in. Math out. Every step auditable.

No prediction is made without showing what produced it.

DATA
Match data, lineups & closing odds
every major league · refreshed 06:00 UTC
3 MODELS
Poisson · Dixon-Coles · Elo
Platt-calibrated probabilities per league group
MARKET
Shown beside the market's own view
the bookmaker's margin removed
RESULT
Every prediction settled in public
hits and misses, nothing edited after kick-off
✓
Not a tipster

We sell the math, not picks. Every prediction is reproducible from the formula. No "lock of the day".

✓
Not a black box

Named models, a public scoreboard, every result published.

✓
No conflict of interest

Zero bookmaker affiliates. No "bet now" buttons. Bring your own book.

▸ 10 / PRICING

Free account, free tracker. Pay only for the full picture.

Cancel anytime · Founding price: yours as long as you stay subscribed.

Free
See the full picture, free.
€0always free
No card required
Create a free account
  • ▸Home, draw and away probabilities on every modelled match
  • ▸The market's own view, margin removed
  • ▸The Match of the Day AI brief
  • ▸Accuracy dashboard, every league group
  • ▸Live scores, standings and My Picks
  • ×Full AI match brief on every modelled match
  • ×Rule-based reasoning ('Why')
  • ×Exact-score probabilities and live odds
  • →and more, with Pro
Pro
For football fans who want the full picture.
€8.99/ month
▸ Founding priceYours as long as you stay subscribed

Prices in EUR. Where Stripe supports your country, checkout shows and charges the price in your local currency at Stripe's rate, which is about 4% above the market rate. You can pay in EUR instead on the same page. Ways to pay

Everything in Free, plus
  • ▸Full AI match brief on every modelled match
  • ▸Rule-based reasoning ('Why')
  • ▸Exact-score probabilities
  • ▸Live odds and odds movement
  • ▸Every fixture, no list limits
  • ▸Strategy Lab, Backtest and Strategy Analyzer
  • ▸Model Comparison
  • ▸News-risk detail on AI briefs
✓ no card for free tier✓ cancel any time✓ Stripe-hosted checkout18+ · play responsibly · not financial advice
▸ GET STARTED

Stop guessing. Start measuring.

Browse the live app free. Create an account for the full tracker, no card. No tips, no bookmaker cut, every result published.

Open the live app →
No card for the free tier · cancel anytime