tofiko ~$predict --models=all --edge≥5%online

Every tip service hides its losing weeks. We don't.

No tips. Just math — and a track record you can audit, losses and all.

Three transparent models across every major league. Live edges, value bets, model comparison, and your own tracker — in one screen. Browse it all free. We don't sell picks and we don't take a bookmaker's cut. We sell the math.

Open the live app →
Live scores, predictions & your own tracker — no sign-up to look around.
LIVE NOW
matches in play
MODELS
3 Poisson · DC · Elo
EDGE FILTER
≥ 5% publish threshold
MARKETS
1X2 · O/U value scan
● TOFIKO ENGINE · ONLINE3 models
Scanning the live board
Live
Models3
Edge≥ 5%
→ publishing value where the model price beats the book
▸ FEATURED EVENT · LIVE

The World Cup, with the model attached.

World Cup 2026 is underway — 48 nations, 104 matches. Live scores, group tables, the bracket, and per-fixture model picks in one hub. Follow every match as the models call it.

48nations
104matches
16host cities
Open the World Cup hub →
02 / TODAY'S EDGE

Picks of the day, with the math attached.

Two signals free, every day. Each card shows model consensus, edge %, and the odds at issue — so you can check the price, not just the pick.

Odds-at-issue shown; markets move. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

03 / VERIFIED TRACK RECORD

A tipster would delete this stretch. We publish it.

Here's the live settled record right now — wins and losses, nothing hidden. Flat one-unit stakes at closing odds. When it's red, you'll see red. A track record you can't trust is one that's only shown when it's green.

Every settled signal is published — wins and losses, no cherry-picking. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

04 / INSIDE TOFIKO

Not a feed of tips. A workbench.

Everything the models see, in one place — instead of ten browser tabs.

Value Bets

Every market where the model's price beats the book's, sorted by edge.

Live

Matches in play, with odds drifting in real time.

Strategy Lab

Backtested strategies with equity curves and full signal lists.

Model Comparison

Where Poisson, Dixon-Coles and Elo agree, and where they split.

Standings & form

Tables, results and run-of-form for every team.

My Picks

Your own tracker. Free.

05 / MODELS & ACCURACY

Three independent models. One public scoreboard.

Poisson, Dixon-Coles and Elo — each calibrated per league, each scored against finished matches in the open. You can check our work.

PRO+Confusion matrix, per-league breakdown and weekly calibration trend live in the Accuracy Dashboard.
▸ 06 / MY PICKS FREE

Your own tracker. Free — it just needs an account.

Star matches, log predictions, place virtual bets (stake and odds — never real money, no bookmaker handoff, ever). We auto-settle when the match ends and keep your win-rate, ROI and running P/L.

★ MY PICKSSample — your own picks appear hereSAMPLEFREE ACCOUNT
MATCHPICKVIRTUAL BETRESULTP/L
YOUR LEAGUE
Team A v Team B
PickHOME
Virtual bet1.0u @ 2.25
WON2–1
+1.25u
YOUR LEAGUE
Team C v Team D
PickDRAW
Virtual bet1.0u @ 3.50
LIVE1–1 · 64'
YOUR LEAGUE
Team E v Team F
PickHOME
Virtual bet0.5u @ 2.10
OPENSun 15:30
YOUR LEAGUE
Team G v Team H
PickOVER 2.5
Virtual bet1.0u @ 1.92
LOST0–1
−1.00u
No real money · no bookmaker links · ever
MY PERFORMANCESample · your numbers will differ
58%
win rate
+12.3%
ROI
+8.6%
Bankroll yield
2.31
Avg odds
CUMULATIVE P/L+8.6u
PROWant the model's Suggestions on what to track next? Advanced, tier-gated picks live in Pro & Max.
07 / STRATEGY LAB

Backtested strategies. Equity curves. No hand-waving.

Live ROI tracked daily. Every strategy shows its rule set and full signal list inside the app.

08 / COVERAGE

Every major league, calibrated separately.

Pro covers the top leagues; Max covers every league we model — Europe, the Americas, Asia, Africa and Oceania. Each league group gets its own Platt calibration, refreshed weekly.

Premier League
La Liga
Bundesliga
Serie A
Ligue 1
Primeira
Eredivisie
Brasileirão
Primera Argentina
Liga MX
Süper Lig
J1 League
+ many more
PRO · top leaguesMAX · every covered league
09 / HOW IT WORKS · WHY TRUST IT

Data in. Math out. Every step auditable.

No prediction is made without showing what produced it.

DATA
Match data, lineups & closing odds
every major league · refreshed 06:00 UTC
3 MODELS
Poisson · Dixon-Coles · Elo
Platt-calibrated probabilities per league group
MARKET
Compare model vs. book-implied
edge = p(model) − p(book)
SIGNAL
Publish only edge ≥ 5%
with the drift, the rule and the ROI config
Not a tipster

We sell the math, not picks. Every signal is reproducible from the formula. No "lock of the day".

Not a black box

Named models, a public scoreboard, every result published.

No conflict of interest

Zero bookmaker affiliates. No "bet now" buttons. Bring your own book.

▸ 10 / PRICING

Free account, free tracker. Pay only for the edge.

14-day money-back · cancel anytime · founding price locked 12 months. Founding launch price — locked 12 months, regular pricing after.

FREE Free account · no card
  • 2 Today's Edge signals / day
  • Live scores & standings
  • ★ My Picks — watchlist
  • Manual predictions
  • Virtual bets + auto-settlement
  • Personal analytics dashboard
★ My Picks lives here — free forever with an account.
PRO / MAX Pro / Max unlock
  • Advanced & tier-gated Suggestions
  • All signals + rule-based “Why”
  • Strategy Lab
  • Accuracy Dashboard
  • Email / Telegram alerts
  • Wider league coverage
  • Custom backtest tool
Everything in Free, plus the analytics layer pros pay for.
PROFor people who do this seriously — not chase tips.
  • Every edge the moment it appears — not just the 2 free.
  • The "why" behind every pick — the rule and the math, not a blind call.
  • Strategy Lab + custom backtests — build and test your own system.
  • Alerts (email / Telegram) — never miss a qualifying edge.
  • Model comparison & accuracy dashboard — see where the models agree and split.
FOUNDINGFounding launch price — locked 12 months, regular pricing after launch. Lock your rate now while founding pricing is open.
Free
Try the math.
€0always free
No card required
Create a free account
  • 2 Today's Edge signals / day
  • Live scores & standings
  • Watchlist & match history
  • ×Rule-based reasoning ('Why')
  • ×Every signal, top leagues
  • ×Email alerts · daily digest
  • and more — unlock with Pro
MOST POPULAR
Pro
For the serious recreational bettor.
€8.99€14.99/ month
▸ Launch price€14.99/mo after launch · locked 12 months
Everything in Free, plus
  • All Today's Edge signals (top leagues)
  • Rule-based reasoning ('Why')
  • AI match analysis (cost-efficient)
  • Strategy Lab access
  • Accuracy dashboard
  • Email alerts · daily digest
BEST VALUE
Max
Depth & breadth for sharp bettors.
€14.99€24.99/ month
▸ Launch price€24.99/mo after launch · locked 12 months
Everything in Pro, plus
  • Everything in Pro
  • All 478 leagues
  • Deeper AI analysis (H2H, form, odds movement, weather)
  • Telegram real-time alerts
  • Custom backtest tool
  • Priority support
✓ no card for free tier✓ cancel any time✓ Stripe-hosted checkout18+ · play responsibly · not financial advice
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Stop guessing. Start measuring.

Browse the live app free. Create an account for the full tracker — no card. No tips, no bookmaker cut, every result published.

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No card for the free tier · 14-day money-back on Pro & Max