York City F.C.vs
Crawley Town F.C.York City F.C. vs Crawley Town F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
EFL League TwoSat, 19 Dec 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs York City F.C.58%
- York City F.C. 58%
- Draw 24%
- Crawley Town F.C. 17%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick York City F.C., rating it at 58.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and York City F.C. won none of them. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 58.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. York City F.C.'s last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. Crawley Town F.C.'s 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
- York City F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
York City F.C.: LLDWL
Crawley Town F.C.: WLLWD
Head-to-head
- 1Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | York City F.C. vs Crawley Town F.C. | 0–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win York City F.C. vs Crawley Town F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours York City F.C. (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does York City F.C. vs Crawley Town F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 19 Dec 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL League Two.
- What is the York City F.C. vs Crawley Town F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.