What each market actually settles on

Bet Types

Every football market is a different question about the same 90 minutes. These guides cover what each one settles on, the edge cases that catch people out (pushes, quarter lines, extra time), and what genuinely moves the price.

8 guides · about 34 min to read all

What you'll take away

  • Exactly how each market settles, including the awkward cases
  • Which markets are correlated and which only look like they are
  • Where bookmakers price sharply and where attention is thin
  • How goal-based models derive each market from expected goals

Bet Types

1X2 Explained: Football's Default Market, and the One Bookmakers Price Best1X2 is the home-draw-away match result market. How it settles, why the draw makes football harder to price than most sports, why the three odds sum to more than 100%, and how goal models derive it.
6 min5 sections
Over/Under 2.5 Goals Explained: The Market That Ignores the WinnerOver/Under 2.5 goals is football's biggest totals market — you bet on how many goals, not who wins. How the .5 line works, what drives totals prices, and how goal-based models price this market from expected goals.
2 min3 sections
BTTS — Both Teams To Score, ExplainedBTTS asks one question: do both sides find the net? How the market settles, what actually drives BTTS probability, why it's not the same bet as Over 2.5, and how goal models price it.
2 min4 sections
Double Chance Betting: Covering Two Outcomes at OnceDouble Chance covers two of the three 1X2 outcomes in one bet — 1X, 12 or X2. How the prices relate to 1X2 odds, when the safety is worth the shrunken payout, and the draw-no-bet comparison.
2 min4 sections
Draw No Bet: Paying for the Draw to Be RefundedDraw no bet removes the draw from 1X2 — if the match is level your stake comes back. How to derive the fair DNB price, why it is identical to Asian handicap 0.0, and how it compares to double chance.
6 min5 sections
Asian Handicap Explained: Quarter Lines, Pushes and AllAsian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goal head start — including half and quarter lines. How -0.5, -0.75 and -1.0 actually settle, what a push is, and how split stakes work, with a full settlement table.
3 min4 sections
Accumulators: Why the Payout Looks Bigger Than It IsAn acca multiplies your odds — and it multiplies the bookmaker's margin too. Why a 5% margin becomes 34% over six legs, why short favourites are not safer, and when an accumulator is still defensible.
7 min5 sections
Correct Score Betting: The Hardest Market on the BoardCorrect score asks you to name the exact result. Why even the likeliest scoreline is barely a one-in-eight shot, where the price comes from, and why the payouts look better than they are.
6 min5 sections

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