Burgos CFvs
Girona FCBurgos CF vs Girona FC Prediction, H2H & Stats
Spanish Segunda DivisionMon, 21 Dec 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Burgos CF61%
- Burgos CF 61%
- Draw 26%
- Girona FC 13%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Burgos CF, rating it at 61.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
They arrive from very different football. Girona FC's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Burgos CF's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.
The model puts the draw at 25.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Girona FC's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Burgos CF: LWDWW
Girona FC: DLDLW
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Burgos CF vs Girona FC?
- Tofiko's model favours Burgos CF (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Burgos CF vs Girona FC kick off?
- Mon, 21 Dec 2026 15:59 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.