Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa Red Diamonds Prediction, H2H & Form
J1 LeagueSat, 17 Oct 2026 07:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Urawa Red Diamonds45%
- Mito Hollyhock 30%
- Draw 25%
- Urawa Red Diamonds 45%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Urawa Red Diamonds, rating it at 45.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met once, and Mito Hollyhock did not win it. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 45.0% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Urawa Red Diamonds's last 5 produced 24 goals — 4.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Mito Hollyhock's 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.
The model puts the draw at 25.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Urawa Red Diamonds's games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 46 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Mito Hollyhock: DLWDL
Urawa Red Diamonds: WWLLL
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 46 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 1Games
- 5.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa Red Diamonds | 1–4 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa Red Diamonds?
- Tofiko's model favours Urawa Red Diamonds (45% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa Red Diamonds kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 07:00 GMT — J1 League.
- What is the Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa Red Diamonds head-to-head record?
- In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 5.00 goals per game.