Shonan Bellmare crestShonan BellmarevsVegalta Sendai crestVegalta Sendai

Shonan Bellmare 1-3 Vegalta Sendai — Result, H2H & Form

J2 LeagueSat, 05 Sep 2026 10:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Shonan Bellmare44%

  • Shonan Bellmare 44%
  • Draw 24%
  • Vegalta Sendai 32%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Shonan Bellmare, rating it at 43.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Shonan Bellmare won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 43.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 23.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 9 Sep 2026.

Shonan Bellmare: LDWDW

Vegalta Sendai: WWLWD

Head-to-head

As of 9 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-05Shonan Bellmare vs Vegalta Sendai1–3
2026-05-16Shonan Bellmare vs Vegalta Sendai0–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Shonan Bellmare vs Vegalta Sendai?
Tofiko's model favours Shonan Bellmare (44% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Shonan Bellmare vs Vegalta Sendai kick off?
Sat, 05 Sep 2026 10:00 GMT — J2 League.
What is the Shonan Bellmare vs Vegalta Sendai head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

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Reverse fixtureVegalta Sendai vs Shonan Bellmare5 Dec 2026 →