Shonan Bellmare 1-3 Vegalta Sendai — Result, H2H & Form
J2 LeagueSat, 05 Sep 2026 10:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Shonan Bellmare44%
- Shonan Bellmare 44%
- Draw 24%
- Vegalta Sendai 32%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Shonan Bellmare, rating it at 43.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Shonan Bellmare won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 43.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 9 Sep 2026.
Shonan Bellmare: LDWDW
Vegalta Sendai: WWLWD
Head-to-head
As of 9 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Shonan Bellmare vs Vegalta Sendai | 1–3 |
| 2026-05-16 | Shonan Bellmare vs Vegalta Sendai | 0–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Shonan Bellmare vs Vegalta Sendai?
- Tofiko's model favours Shonan Bellmare (44% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Shonan Bellmare vs Vegalta Sendai kick off?
- Sat, 05 Sep 2026 10:00 GMT — J2 League.
- What is the Shonan Bellmare vs Vegalta Sendai head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.