Mito Hollyhockvs
V-Varen NagasakiMito Hollyhock vs V-Varen Nagasaki Prediction, H2H & Stats
J1 LeagueSat, 28 Nov 2026 11:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs V-Varen Nagasaki38%
- Mito Hollyhock 38%
- Draw 24%
- V-Varen Nagasaki 38%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick V-Varen Nagasaki, rating it at 38.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Mito Hollyhock won 1 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 38.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Mito Hollyhock: LLLLL
V-Varen Nagasaki: LLWWL
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 | Mito Hollyhock vs V-Varen Nagasaki | 0–1 |
| 2026-05-30 | V-Varen Nagasaki vs Mito Hollyhock | 1–0 |
| 2025-11-23 | V-Varen Nagasaki vs Mito Hollyhock | 2–1 |
| 2025-05-31 | Mito Hollyhock vs V-Varen Nagasaki | 3–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Mito Hollyhock vs V-Varen Nagasaki?
- Tofiko's model favours V-Varen Nagasaki (38% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Mito Hollyhock vs V-Varen Nagasaki kick off?
- Sat, 28 Nov 2026 11:00 GMT — J1 League.
- What is the Mito Hollyhock vs V-Varen Nagasaki head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.