UD Almeriavs
UD Las PalmasUD Almeria vs UD Las Palmas Prediction, H2H & Stats
Spanish Segunda DivisionMon, 11 Jan 2027 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs UD Almeria48%
- UD Almeria 48%
- Draw 26%
- UD Las Palmas 27%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick UD Almeria, rating it at 47.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and UD Almeria won 1 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 47.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
UD Almeria: LLWLD
UD Las Palmas: LWLLD
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | UD Almeria vs UD Las Palmas | 1–2 |
| 2025-09-27 | UD Las Palmas vs UD Almeria | 0–1 |
| 2024-03-17 | Las Palmas vs Almeria | 0–1 |
| 2023-10-28 | Almeria vs Las Palmas | 1–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win UD Almeria vs UD Las Palmas?
- Tofiko's model favours UD Almeria (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does UD Almeria vs UD Las Palmas kick off?
- Mon, 11 Jan 2027 15:59 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
- What is the UD Almeria vs UD Las Palmas head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 4 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.