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Sevilla FC crestSevilla FCvsRayo Vallecano crestRayo Vallecano

Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, H2H & Stats

La LigaSat, 15 Aug 2026 19:30 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Sevilla FC41%

Sevilla FC 41%
Draw 33%
Rayo Vallecano 26%
  • Sevilla FC 41%
  • Draw 33%
  • Rayo Vallecano 26%

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

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Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Sevilla FC, rating it at 41.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Sevilla FC won 2 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Sevilla FC: WWWDL

Rayo Vallecano: WDLLW

Head-to-head

  • 10Games
  • 2.10Avg goals
  • 60%Both scored
  • 30%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-08Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano1–1
2025-09-28Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla FC0–1
2025-03-01Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla FC1–1
2024-11-24Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano1–0
2024-02-05Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla1–2
2023-10-07Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano2–2
2023-02-19Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla1–1
2022-10-29Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano0–1
2022-03-13Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla1–1
2021-08-15Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano3–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano?
Tofiko's model favours Sevilla FC (41% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano kick off?
Sat, 15 Aug 2026 19:30 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 2 home wins, 5 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.10 goals per game.

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