Sevilla FC crestSevilla FCvsRayo Vallecano crestRayo Vallecano

Sevilla FC 2-1 Rayo Vallecano — Result, H2H & Form

La LigaSat, 15 Aug 2026 19:30 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Sevilla FC44%

Tofiko44% / 26% / 30%
Market39% / 31% / 30%
  • Sevilla FC
  • Draw
  • Rayo Vallecano

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Sevilla FC, rating it at 44.4% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 10 times, and Sevilla FC won 3 of 10, with 5 drawn. Across 10 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.

They arrive from very different football. Rayo Vallecano's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Sevilla FC's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Rayo Vallecano's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.

Recent form

As of 23 Sep 2026.

Sevilla FC: LWWDL

Rayo Vallecano: DWLWL

Head-to-head

As of 23 Sep 2026.

  • 10Games
  • 2.10Avg goals
  • 70%Both scored
  • 30%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-08-15Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano2–1
2026-03-08Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano1–1
2025-09-28Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla FC0–1
2025-03-01Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla FC1–1
2024-11-24Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano1–0
2024-02-05Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla1–2
2023-10-07Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano2–2
2023-02-19Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla1–1
2022-10-29Sevilla vs Rayo Vallecano0–1
2022-03-13Rayo Vallecano vs Sevilla1–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano?
Tofiko's model favours Sevilla FC (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano kick off?
Sat, 15 Aug 2026 19:30 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Sevilla FC vs Rayo Vallecano head-to-head record?
In their last 10 meetings: 2 home wins, 5 draws, 3 away wins, averaging 2.10 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureRayo Vallecano vs Sevilla17 Jan 2027 →