Rayo Vallecanovs
Deportivo AlavesRayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alaves Prediction, H2H & Stats
La LigaThu, 20 Aug 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Rayo Vallecano47%
- Rayo Vallecano 47%
- Draw 34%
- Deportivo Alaves 19%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Rayo Vallecano, rating it at 47.0%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 8 times, and Rayo Vallecano won 6 of 8. Across 8 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Rayo Vallecano: WDLLW
Deportivo Alaves: DWWDL
Head-to-head
- 8Games
- 1.63Avg goals
- 13%Both scored
- 13%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–2 |
| 2025-10-26 | Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alaves | 1–0 |
| 2025-03-29 | Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano | 0–2 |
| 2024-10-26 | Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alaves | 1–0 |
| 2024-03-10 | Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–0 |
| 2023-09-15 | Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves | 2–0 |
| 2022-04-16 | Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–0 |
| 2021-12-18 | Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alaves?
- Tofiko's model favours Rayo Vallecano (47% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alaves kick off?
- Thu, 20 Aug 2026 19:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alaves head-to-head record?
- In their last 8 meetings: 6 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.63 goals per game.