Deportivo Alavesvs
Rayo VallecanoDeportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano Prediction, H2H & Form
La LigaSun, 18 Apr 2027 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Draw36%
- Deportivo Alaves 33%
- Draw 36%
- Rayo Vallecano 31%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks the draw, rating it at 35.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and Deportivo Alaves won none of them. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.
They arrive from very different football. Rayo Vallecano's last 5 produced 20 goals — 4.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Deportivo Alaves's 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Rayo Vallecano's games are very high-scoring at 4.0 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 229 days away, so these are today's results, not the form either side will carry into this match.
Deportivo Alaves: WDWDW
Rayo Vallecano: LDLLW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026. Kickoff is still 229 days away, so these are the meetings played so far, and the two may meet again before it.
- 9Games
- 1.67Avg goals
- 22%Both scored
- 11%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alaves | 1–1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–2 |
| 2025-10-26 | Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alaves | 1–0 |
| 2025-03-29 | Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano | 0–2 |
| 2024-10-26 | Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alaves | 1–0 |
| 2024-03-10 | Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–0 |
| 2023-09-15 | Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves | 2–0 |
| 2022-04-16 | Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–0 |
| 2021-12-18 | Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano?
- Tofiko's model favours Draw (36% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano kick off?
- Sun, 18 Apr 2027 15:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.67 goals per game.