Rayo Vallecanovs
Deportivo AlavesRayo Vallecano 1-1 Deportivo Alaves — Result, H2H & Form
La LigaThu, 20 Aug 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Rayo Vallecano48%
- Rayo Vallecano
- Draw
- Deportivo Alaves
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Rayo Vallecano, rating it at 47.9% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 9 times, and Rayo Vallecano won 6 of 9, with 1 drawn. Across 9 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast doesn't lean on it.
They arrive from very different football. Rayo Vallecano's last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Deportivo Alaves's 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Rayo Vallecano's games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026.
Rayo Vallecano: DWLWL
Deportivo Alaves: DLLWW
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026.
- 9Games
- 1.67Avg goals
- 22%Both scored
- 11%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alaves | 1–1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–2 |
| 2025-10-26 | Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alaves | 1–0 |
| 2025-03-29 | Deportivo Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano | 0–2 |
| 2024-10-26 | Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alaves | 1–0 |
| 2024-03-10 | Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–0 |
| 2023-09-15 | Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves | 2–0 |
| 2022-04-16 | Alaves vs Rayo Vallecano | 1–0 |
| 2021-12-18 | Rayo Vallecano vs Alaves | 2–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alaves?
- Tofiko's model favours Rayo Vallecano (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alaves kick off?
- Thu, 20 Aug 2026 19:00 GMT — La Liga.
- What is the Rayo Vallecano vs Deportivo Alaves head-to-head record?
- In their last 9 meetings: 6 home wins, 1 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.67 goals per game.