UD Almeriavs
CD LeganesUD Almeria vs CD Leganes Prediction, H2H & Stats
Spanish Segunda DivisionSun, 11 Oct 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs UD Almeria67%
- UD Almeria 67%
- Draw 21%
- CD Leganes 11%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick UD Almeria, rating it at 67.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and UD Almeria won all of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 67.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
UD Almeria: LLWLD
CD Leganes: LLDDD
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | UD Almeria vs CD Leganes | 2–1 |
| 2025-11-22 | CD Leganes vs UD Almeria | 0–3 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win UD Almeria vs CD Leganes?
- Tofiko's model favours UD Almeria (67% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does UD Almeria vs CD Leganes kick off?
- Sun, 11 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
- What is the UD Almeria vs CD Leganes head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.