UD Almeriavs
Malaga CFUD Almeria vs Malaga CF Prediction, H2H & Stats
Spanish Segunda DivisionSat, 20 Jun 2026 19:30 GMTStatus: finished
Final: UD Almeria 1–2 Malaga CF
Tofiko prediction
Model backs UD Almeria48%
- UD Almeria 48%
- Draw 24%
- Malaga CF 29%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick UD Almeria, rating it at 47.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and UD Almeria won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 47.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Malaga CF's last 5 produced 15 goals — 3.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. UD Almeria's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 23.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
UD Almeria: LLWLD
Malaga CF: DDWDD
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 2.75Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-20 | UD Almeria vs Malaga CF | 1–2 |
| 2026-06-14 | Malaga CF vs UD Almeria | 0–0 |
| 2026-04-19 | UD Almeria vs Malaga CF | 3–2 |
| 2025-12-21 | Malaga CF vs UD Almeria | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win UD Almeria vs Malaga CF?
- Tofiko's model favours UD Almeria (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does UD Almeria vs Malaga CF kick off?
- Sat, 20 Jun 2026 19:30 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
- What is the UD Almeria vs Malaga CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.75 goals per game.