UD Almeriavs
Real OviedoUD Almeria vs Real Oviedo Prediction, H2H & Stats
Spanish Segunda DivisionMon, 26 Oct 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs UD Almeria64%
- UD Almeria 64%
- Draw 22%
- Real Oviedo 15%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick UD Almeria, rating it at 63.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The model puts the draw at 21.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
UD Almeria: LLWLD
Real Oviedo: LWDDL
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win UD Almeria vs Real Oviedo?
- Tofiko's model favours UD Almeria (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does UD Almeria vs Real Oviedo kick off?
- Mon, 26 Oct 2026 15:59 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.