UD Almeriavs
Real ValladolidUD Almeria vs Real Valladolid Prediction, H2H & Stats
Spanish Segunda DivisionMon, 21 Dec 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs UD Almeria70%
- UD Almeria 70%
- Draw 20%
- Real Valladolid 10%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick UD Almeria, rating it at 69.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and UD Almeria won 1 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 69.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 20.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
UD Almeria: LLWLD
Real Valladolid: LWDLL
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 1.50Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 25%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 | UD Almeria vs Real Valladolid | 1–0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Real Valladolid vs UD Almeria | 3–1 |
| 2023-05-28 | Almeria vs Valladolid | 0–0 |
| 2022-09-05 | Valladolid vs Almeria | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win UD Almeria vs Real Valladolid?
- Tofiko's model favours UD Almeria (70% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does UD Almeria vs Real Valladolid kick off?
- Mon, 21 Dec 2026 15:59 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
- What is the UD Almeria vs Real Valladolid head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.