SD Eibarvs
Malaga CFSD Eibar vs Malaga CF Prediction, H2H & Stats
Spanish Segunda DivisionSat, 02 May 2026 19:00 GMTStatus: finished
Final: SD Eibar 2–4 Malaga CF
Tofiko prediction
Model backs SD Eibar48%
- SD Eibar 48%
- Draw 26%
- Malaga CF 27%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick SD Eibar, rating it at 47.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and SD Eibar won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 47.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
SD Eibar: WWDDL
Malaga CF: DDWDD
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | SD Eibar vs Malaga CF | 2–4 |
| 2025-08-16 | Malaga CF vs SD Eibar | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win SD Eibar vs Malaga CF?
- Tofiko's model favours SD Eibar (48% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does SD Eibar vs Malaga CF kick off?
- Sat, 02 May 2026 19:00 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
- What is the SD Eibar vs Malaga CF head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.