Girona FCvs
UD AlmeriaGirona FC vs UD Almeria Prediction, H2H & Stats
Spanish Segunda DivisionMon, 09 Nov 2026 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Girona FC39%
- Girona FC 39%
- Draw 25%
- UD Almeria 36%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Girona FC, rating it at 39.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and Girona FC won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 39.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Girona FC's last 5 produced 16 goals — 3.2 per game; they scored in 3 of them and conceded in 4. UD Almeria's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Girona FC: LDLWD
UD Almeria: LLWLD
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 5.00Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 75%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-01-14 | Almeria vs Girona | 0–0 |
| 2023-10-22 | Girona vs Almeria | 5–2 |
| 2023-02-17 | Girona vs Almeria | 6–2 |
| 2022-10-20 | Almeria vs Girona | 3–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Girona FC vs UD Almeria?
- Tofiko's model favours Girona FC (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Girona FC vs UD Almeria kick off?
- Mon, 09 Nov 2026 15:59 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
- What is the Girona FC vs UD Almeria head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 3 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 5.00 goals per game.