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Granada CF crestGranada CFvsUD Almeria crestUD Almeria

Granada CF vs UD Almeria Prediction, H2H & Stats

Spanish Segunda DivisionMon, 04 Jan 2027 15:59 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs UD Almeria45%

Granada CF 30%
Draw 25%
UD Almeria 45%
  • Granada CF 30%
  • Draw 25%
  • UD Almeria 45%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick UD Almeria, rating it at 44.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 5 times, and Granada CF won 1 of 5, with 2 drawn. Across 5 meetings the pattern is worth noting, though the forecast is built on league-wide form rather than this pairing alone.

The model puts the draw at 25.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Granada CF: WWWDL

UD Almeria: LLWLD

Head-to-head

  • 5Games
  • 4.20Avg goals
  • 80%Both scored
  • 60%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-07-29Granada CF vs UD Almeria2–0
2026-04-26Granada CF vs UD Almeria2–4
2026-01-03UD Almeria vs Granada CF3–2
2024-02-18Granada CF vs Almeria1–1
2023-10-01Almeria vs Granada CF3–3

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Granada CF vs UD Almeria?
Tofiko's model favours UD Almeria (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Granada CF vs UD Almeria kick off?
Mon, 04 Jan 2027 15:59 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
What is the Granada CF vs UD Almeria head-to-head record?
In their last 5 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.20 goals per game.

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