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UD Las Palmas crestUD Las PalmasvsCD Leganes crestCD Leganes

UD Las Palmas vs CD Leganes Prediction, H2H & Stats

Spanish Segunda DivisionSun, 06 Sep 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs UD Las Palmas64%

UD Las Palmas 64%
Draw 25%
CD Leganes 11%
  • UD Las Palmas 64%
  • Draw 25%
  • CD Leganes 11%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick UD Las Palmas, rating it at 63.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and UD Las Palmas won 2 of 4. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 63.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 25.2%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

UD Las Palmas: LWLLD

CD Leganes: LLDDD

Head-to-head

  • 4Games
  • 1.75Avg goals
  • 25%Both scored
  • 25%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-17UD Las Palmas vs CD Leganes2–0
2025-09-20CD Leganes vs UD Las Palmas0–1
2025-05-18UD Las Palmas vs CD Leganes0–1
2024-08-25CD Leganes vs UD Las Palmas2–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win UD Las Palmas vs CD Leganes?
Tofiko's model favours UD Las Palmas (64% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does UD Las Palmas vs CD Leganes kick off?
Sun, 06 Sep 2026 15:00 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
What is the UD Las Palmas vs CD Leganes head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.75 goals per game.

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