UD Las Palmasvs
Real ValladolidUD Las Palmas vs Real Valladolid Prediction, H2H & Stats
Spanish Segunda DivisionSun, 04 Oct 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs UD Las Palmas67%
- UD Las Palmas 67%
- Draw 23%
- Real Valladolid 10%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick UD Las Palmas, rating it at 66.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and UD Las Palmas won 3 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 66.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 23.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
UD Las Palmas: LWLLD
Real Valladolid: LWDLL
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 2.25Avg goals
- 75%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | UD Las Palmas vs Real Valladolid | 2–1 |
| 2025-11-14 | Real Valladolid vs UD Las Palmas | 0–1 |
| 2025-02-28 | Real Valladolid vs UD Las Palmas | 1–1 |
| 2024-12-07 | UD Las Palmas vs Real Valladolid | 2–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win UD Las Palmas vs Real Valladolid?
- Tofiko's model favours UD Las Palmas (67% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does UD Las Palmas vs Real Valladolid kick off?
- Sun, 04 Oct 2026 15:00 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
- What is the UD Las Palmas vs Real Valladolid head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.25 goals per game.