RCD Mallorcavs
UD AlmeriaRCD Mallorca vs UD Almeria Prediction, H2H & Stats
Spanish Segunda DivisionSun, 27 Sep 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs RCD Mallorca39%
- RCD Mallorca 39%
- Draw 25%
- UD Almeria 36%
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks RCD Mallorca, rating it at 39.4%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 4 times, and RCD Mallorca won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 39.4% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. RCD Mallorca's last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 3. UD Almeria's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
RCD Mallorca: WWWLL
UD Almeria: LLWLD
Head-to-head
- 4Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 25%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-19 | Mallorca vs Almeria | 2–2 |
| 2023-12-17 | Almeria vs Mallorca | 0–0 |
| 2023-05-20 | Almeria vs Mallorca | 3–0 |
| 2022-09-17 | Mallorca vs Almeria | 1–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win RCD Mallorca vs UD Almeria?
- Tofiko's model favours RCD Mallorca (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does RCD Mallorca vs UD Almeria kick off?
- Sun, 27 Sep 2026 15:00 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
- What is the RCD Mallorca vs UD Almeria head-to-head record?
- In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.