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RCD Mallorca crestRCD MallorcavsReal Valladolid crestReal Valladolid

RCD Mallorca vs Real Valladolid Prediction, H2H & Stats

Spanish Segunda DivisionSun, 16 Aug 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs RCD Mallorca61%

RCD Mallorca 61%
Draw 24%
Real Valladolid 15%
  • RCD Mallorca 61%
  • Draw 24%
  • Real Valladolid 15%

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Analysis

Both model families pick RCD Mallorca, rating it at 60.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and RCD Mallorca won 2 of 4, with 1 drawn. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 60.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. RCD Mallorca's last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 3. Real Valladolid's 5 produced 9, at 1.8 per game.

The model puts the draw at 24.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

RCD Mallorca: WWWLL

Real Valladolid: LWDLL

Head-to-head

  • 4Games
  • 3.25Avg goals
  • 75%Both scored
  • 75%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-05-10RCD Mallorca vs Real Valladolid2–1
2024-09-27Real Valladolid vs RCD Mallorca1–2
2023-04-09Valladolid vs Mallorca3–3
2023-01-07Mallorca vs Valladolid1–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win RCD Mallorca vs Real Valladolid?
Tofiko's model favours RCD Mallorca (61% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does RCD Mallorca vs Real Valladolid kick off?
Sun, 16 Aug 2026 15:00 GMT — Spanish Segunda Division.
What is the RCD Mallorca vs Real Valladolid head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.25 goals per game.

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