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Racing de Santander crestRacing de SantandervsAthletic Bilbao crestAthletic Bilbao

Racing de Santander vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction, H2H & Stats

La LigaSun, 03 Jan 2027 17:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Racing de Santander39%

Racing de Santander 39%
Draw 31%
Athletic Bilbao 31%
  • Racing de Santander 39%
  • Draw 31%
  • Athletic Bilbao 31%

Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

Track this pick — follow it in My Picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Racing de Santander, rating it at 38.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met once, and Racing de Santander won none of them. One game is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 38.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Athletic Bilbao's last 5 produced 23 goals — 4.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 1. Racing de Santander's 5 produced 15, at 3.0 per game.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: one game, no win for the side we back.
  • Athletic Bilbao's games are very high-scoring at 4.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Racing de Santander: LLLDW

Athletic Bilbao: WWDWW

Head-to-head

  • 1Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-07-29Racing de Santander vs Athletic Bilbao0–3

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FAQ

Who will win Racing de Santander vs Athletic Bilbao?
Tofiko's model favours Racing de Santander (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Racing de Santander vs Athletic Bilbao kick off?
Sun, 03 Jan 2027 17:00 GMT — La Liga.
What is the Racing de Santander vs Athletic Bilbao head-to-head record?
In their last 1 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

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