Bolton Wanderers F.C. 1-0 Cardiff City F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
EFL League One 2025-2026Sat, 25 Oct 2025 11:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Bolton Wanderers F.C.40%
- Bolton Wanderers F.C.
- Draw
- Cardiff City F.C.
Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Bolton Wanderers F.C., rating it at 40.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Bolton Wanderers F.C. won 2 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Bolton Wanderers F.C.'s last 5 produced 22 goals — 4.4 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. Cardiff City F.C.'s 5 produced 12, at 2.4 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Bolton Wanderers F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
Recent form
As of 23 Sep 2026.
Bolton Wanderers F.C.: WWLLL
Cardiff City F.C.: WLDLL
Head-to-head
As of 23 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 1.33Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Bolton Wanderers F.C. vs Cardiff City F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2026-04-11 | Cardiff City F.C. vs Bolton Wanderers F.C. | 2–0 |
| 2025-10-25 | Bolton Wanderers F.C. vs Cardiff City F.C. | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Bolton Wanderers F.C. vs Cardiff City F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Bolton Wanderers F.C. (40% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Bolton Wanderers F.C. vs Cardiff City F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 25 Oct 2025 11:30 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
- What is the Bolton Wanderers F.C. vs Cardiff City F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 3 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.33 goals per game.