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Bolton Wanderers F.C. crestBolton Wanderers F.C.vsStevenage F.C. crestStevenage F.C.

Bolton Wanderers F.C. vs Stevenage F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats

EFL League One 2025-2026Tue, 14 Apr 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Bolton Wanderers F.C. 51 Stevenage F.C.

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Bolton Wanderers F.C.51%

Bolton Wanderers F.C. 51%
Draw 26%
Stevenage F.C. 23%
  • Bolton Wanderers F.C. 51%
  • Draw 26%
  • Stevenage F.C. 23%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Bolton Wanderers F.C., rating it at 50.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Bolton Wanderers F.C. won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 50.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 25.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Bolton Wanderers F.C.: WDDWL

Stevenage F.C.: WWWLD

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-14Bolton Wanderers F.C. vs Stevenage F.C.5–1
2026-01-20Stevenage F.C. vs Bolton Wanderers F.C.0–0

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FAQ

Who will win Bolton Wanderers F.C. vs Stevenage F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Bolton Wanderers F.C. (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Bolton Wanderers F.C. vs Stevenage F.C. kick off?
Tue, 14 Apr 2026 18:45 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
What is the Bolton Wanderers F.C. vs Stevenage F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

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