Port Vale F.C. 1-3 Exeter City F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
EFL League One 2025-2026Sat, 24 Jan 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Exeter City F.C.38%
- Port Vale F.C. 34%
- Draw 28%
- Exeter City F.C. 38%
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Create a free accountModel families: split (goals models vs Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Exeter City F.C., rating it at 38.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Port Vale F.C. won 2 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 38.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 14 Sep 2026.
Port Vale F.C.: WLLDD
Exeter City F.C.: LWDDL
Head-to-head
As of 14 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 2.33Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Port Vale F.C. vs Exeter City F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2026-01-24 | Port Vale F.C. vs Exeter City F.C. | 1–3 |
| 2025-09-13 | Exeter City F.C. vs Port Vale F.C. | 0–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Port Vale F.C. vs Exeter City F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Exeter City F.C. (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does Port Vale F.C. vs Exeter City F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 24 Jan 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
- What is the Port Vale F.C. vs Exeter City F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.