Port Vale F.C. crestPort Vale F.C.vsExeter City F.C. crestExeter City F.C.

Port Vale F.C. 1-3 Exeter City F.C. — Result, H2H & Form

EFL League One 2025-2026Sat, 24 Jan 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Exeter City F.C.38%

  • Port Vale F.C. 34%
  • Draw 28%
  • Exeter City F.C. 38%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Exeter City F.C., rating it at 38.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Port Vale F.C. won 2 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 38.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 14 Sep 2026.

Port Vale F.C.: WLLDD

Exeter City F.C.: LWDDL

Head-to-head

As of 14 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 2.33Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-12Port Vale F.C. vs Exeter City F.C.1–0
2026-01-24Port Vale F.C. vs Exeter City F.C.1–3
2025-09-13Exeter City F.C. vs Port Vale F.C.0–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Port Vale F.C. vs Exeter City F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Exeter City F.C. (38% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Port Vale F.C. vs Exeter City F.C. kick off?
Sat, 24 Jan 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
What is the Port Vale F.C. vs Exeter City F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 2.33 goals per game.

More predictions

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First legExeter City 0-2 Port Vale13 Sept 2025 →