Sagan Tosu crestSagan TosuvsRB Omiya Ardija crestRB Omiya Ardija

Sagan Tosu vs RB Omiya Ardija Prediction, H2H & Form

J2 LeagueSat, 17 Oct 2026 05:00 GMTStatus: scheduled

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Sagan Tosu45%

Tofiko45% / 23% / 32%
Market39% / 26% / 35%
  • Sagan Tosu
  • Draw
  • RB Omiya Ardija

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.

Double Chance

  • Sagan Tosu or draw68%
  • Draw or RB Omiya Ardija55%
  • Sagan Tosu or RB Omiya Ardija77%

Over/Under 2.5 goals

  • Over 2.551%
  • Under 2.549%

Both teams to score

  • Sagan Tosu, last 10 home games5 of 10
  • RB Omiya Ardija, last 10 away games8 of 10
  • League rate, last 12 months (382 games)50%

Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.

Analysis

Both model families pick Sagan Tosu, rating it at 45.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Sagan Tosu won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. RB Omiya Ardija's last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Sagan Tosu's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Recent form

As of 13 Oct 2026.

Sagan Tosu: WLDLL

RB Omiya Ardija: WLDWD

Head-to-head

As of 13 Oct 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 0.50Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2025-06-21RB Omiya Ardija vs Sagan Tosu0–0
2025-03-15Sagan Tosu vs RB Omiya Ardija1–0

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FAQ

Who will win Sagan Tosu vs RB Omiya Ardija?
Tofiko's model favours Sagan Tosu (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Sagan Tosu vs RB Omiya Ardija kick off?
Sat, 17 Oct 2026 05:00 GMT — J2 League.
What is the Sagan Tosu vs RB Omiya Ardija head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 0.50 goals per game.

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Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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Reverse fixtureOmiya Ardija vs Sagan Tosu9 May 2027 →