Sagan Tosu vs RB Omiya Ardija Prediction, H2H & Form
J2 LeagueSat, 17 Oct 2026 05:00 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Sagan Tosu45%
- Sagan Tosu
- Draw
- RB Omiya Ardija
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
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Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- Sagan Tosu or draw68%
- Draw or RB Omiya Ardija55%
- Sagan Tosu or RB Omiya Ardija77%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.551%
- Under 2.549%
Both teams to score
- Sagan Tosu, last 10 home games5 of 10
- RB Omiya Ardija, last 10 away games8 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (382 games)50%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Both model families pick Sagan Tosu, rating it at 45.1% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Sagan Tosu won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. RB Omiya Ardija's last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Sagan Tosu's 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Recent form
As of 13 Oct 2026.
Sagan Tosu: WLDLL
RB Omiya Ardija: WLDWD
Head-to-head
As of 13 Oct 2026.
- 2Games
- 0.50Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-21 | RB Omiya Ardija vs Sagan Tosu | 0–0 |
| 2025-03-15 | Sagan Tosu vs RB Omiya Ardija | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Sagan Tosu vs RB Omiya Ardija?
- Tofiko's model favours Sagan Tosu (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Sagan Tosu vs RB Omiya Ardija kick off?
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 05:00 GMT — J2 League.
- What is the Sagan Tosu vs RB Omiya Ardija head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 0.50 goals per game.