AFC Wimbledon crestAFC WimbledonvsDoncaster Rovers F.C. crestDoncaster Rovers F.C.

AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Doncaster Rovers F.C. — Result, H2H & Form

EFL League OneSat, 12 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs AFC Wimbledon42%

  • AFC Wimbledon 42%
  • Draw 25%
  • Doncaster Rovers F.C. 33%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick AFC Wimbledon, rating it at 42.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and AFC Wimbledon won 2 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 15 Sep 2026.

AFC Wimbledon: WWLWL

Doncaster Rovers F.C.: LLLDD

Head-to-head

As of 15 Sep 2026.

  • 3Games
  • 1.67Avg goals
  • 33%Both scored
  • 33%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-09-12AFC Wimbledon vs Doncaster Rovers F.C.1–0
2026-01-17AFC Wimbledon vs Doncaster Rovers F.C.0–1
2025-09-20Doncaster Rovers F.C. vs AFC Wimbledon1–2

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FAQ

Who will win AFC Wimbledon vs Doncaster Rovers F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours AFC Wimbledon (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does AFC Wimbledon vs Doncaster Rovers F.C. kick off?
Sat, 12 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL League One.
What is the AFC Wimbledon vs Doncaster Rovers F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.67 goals per game.

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Reverse fixtureDoncaster vs AFC Wimbledon20 Feb 2027 →