AFC Wimbledon 1-0 Doncaster Rovers F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
EFL League OneSat, 12 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AFC Wimbledon42%
- AFC Wimbledon 42%
- Draw 25%
- Doncaster Rovers F.C. 33%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick AFC Wimbledon, rating it at 42.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and AFC Wimbledon won 2 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 15 Sep 2026.
AFC Wimbledon: WWLWL
Doncaster Rovers F.C.: LLLDD
Head-to-head
As of 15 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 1.67Avg goals
- 33%Both scored
- 33%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | AFC Wimbledon vs Doncaster Rovers F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2026-01-17 | AFC Wimbledon vs Doncaster Rovers F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-09-20 | Doncaster Rovers F.C. vs AFC Wimbledon | 1–2 |
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FAQ
- Who will win AFC Wimbledon vs Doncaster Rovers F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours AFC Wimbledon (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AFC Wimbledon vs Doncaster Rovers F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 12 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL League One.
- What is the AFC Wimbledon vs Doncaster Rovers F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.67 goals per game.