AFC Wimbledonvs
Northampton Town F.C.AFC Wimbledon vs Northampton Town F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
EFL League One 2025-2026Sun, 08 Mar 2026 12:00 GMTStatus: finished
Final: AFC Wimbledon 1–0 Northampton Town F.C.
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AFC Wimbledon53%
- AFC Wimbledon 53%
- Draw 24%
- Northampton Town F.C. 23%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick AFC Wimbledon, rating it at 52.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and AFC Wimbledon won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 52.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.4%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
AFC Wimbledon: WLWDW
Northampton Town F.C.: WDWDL
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | AFC Wimbledon vs Northampton Town F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-12-19 | Northampton Town F.C. vs AFC Wimbledon | 3–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win AFC Wimbledon vs Northampton Town F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours AFC Wimbledon (53% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AFC Wimbledon vs Northampton Town F.C. kick off?
- Sun, 08 Mar 2026 12:00 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
- What is the AFC Wimbledon vs Northampton Town F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.