AFC Wimbledonvs
Stevenage F.C.AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
EFL League OneSat, 03 Oct 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: void
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Stevenage F.C.39%
- AFC Wimbledon
- Draw
- Stevenage F.C.
Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)
Free. Saves this pick to My Picks, settles it when the match ends, and can email you an hour before kick-off and with the result — if you say yes.
AI match brief
🤖 AIThe model sees an open game in this League One match, with the draw a realistic outcome at 27%. Model probabilities are Stevenage 39% and Wimbledon 34%, while the market aligns closely at 38% and 32% respectively.
The rest of the brief — key angles, context and exact-score probabilities — is Pro. Read the full brief with Pro →
More markets
Model probabilities for Double Chance and Over/Under 2.5; both-teams-to-score from the record and the bookmakers' price. Free, no account.
Double Chance
- AFC Wimbledon or draw61%
- Draw or Stevenage F.C.66%
- AFC Wimbledon or Stevenage F.C.73%
Over/Under 2.5 goals
- Over 2.532%
- Under 2.568%
Both teams to score
- AFC Wimbledon, last 10 home games2 of 10
- Stevenage F.C., last 10 away games6 of 10
- League rate, last 12 months (523 games)54%
- Bookmakers, margin removed (2 books)Yes 49% · No 51%
Our own BTTS number is not shown yet: it has not passed our accuracy check.
Analysis
Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Stevenage F.C., rating it at 38.7% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and AFC Wimbledon won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.
They arrive from very different football. Stevenage F.C.'s last 5 produced 15 goals — 3.0 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. AFC Wimbledon's 5 produced 6, at 1.2 per game.
What to keep in mind
- Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.
Recent form
As of 14 Oct 2026.
AFC Wimbledon: LDDDW
Stevenage F.C.: WWWLW
Head-to-head
As of 14 Oct 2026.
- 2Games
- 0.50Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Stevenage F.C. vs AFC Wimbledon | 1–0 |
| 2025-12-26 | AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage F.C. | 0–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Stevenage F.C. (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
- What time does AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 03 Oct 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL League One.
- What is the AFC Wimbledon vs Stevenage F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 0.50 goals per game.