Barnsley F.C.vs
Stevenage F.C.Barnsley F.C. 1-5 Stevenage F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
EFL League OneSat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Barnsley F.C.43%
- Barnsley F.C. 43%
- Draw 26%
- Stevenage F.C. 32%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Barnsley F.C., rating it at 42.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Barnsley F.C. won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 9 Sep 2026.
Barnsley F.C.: LWWWD
Stevenage F.C.: WDDLL
Head-to-head
As of 9 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 3.67Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Barnsley F.C. vs Stevenage F.C. | 1–5 |
| 2026-04-21 | Stevenage F.C. vs Barnsley F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2026-01-31 | Barnsley F.C. vs Stevenage F.C. | 3–1 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Barnsley F.C. vs Stevenage F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Barnsley F.C. (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Barnsley F.C. vs Stevenage F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 05 Sep 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL League One.
- What is the Barnsley F.C. vs Stevenage F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.