Blackpool F.C.vs
Exeter City F.C.Blackpool F.C. 1-0 Exeter City F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
EFL League One 2025-2026Fri, 03 Apr 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Blackpool F.C.45%
- Blackpool F.C. 45%
- Draw 25%
- Exeter City F.C. 31%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Blackpool F.C., rating it at 44.6%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Blackpool F.C. won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 44.6% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Blackpool F.C.'s last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Exeter City F.C.'s 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.7%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Blackpool F.C.: WLWDW
Exeter City F.C.: LWLLD
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.00Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | Blackpool F.C. vs Exeter City F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-08-09 | Exeter City F.C. vs Blackpool F.C. | 4–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Blackpool F.C. vs Exeter City F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Blackpool F.C. (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Blackpool F.C. vs Exeter City F.C. kick off?
- Fri, 03 Apr 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
- What is the Blackpool F.C. vs Exeter City F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.