Blackpool F.C.vs
Port Vale F.C.Blackpool F.C. 3-2 Port Vale F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
EFL League One 2025-2026Tue, 17 Mar 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Blackpool F.C.54%
- Blackpool F.C. 54%
- Draw 25%
- Port Vale F.C. 21%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Blackpool F.C., rating it at 53.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 3 times, and Blackpool F.C. won 1 of 3. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 53.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Blackpool F.C.'s last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Port Vale F.C.'s 5 produced 8, at 1.6 per game.
The model puts the draw at 24.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Blackpool F.C.: WLWDW
Port Vale F.C.: DDLLW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 3Games
- 4.00Avg goals
- 67%Both scored
- 67%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Blackpool F.C. vs Port Vale F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2026-03-17 | Blackpool F.C. vs Port Vale F.C. | 3–2 |
| 2026-01-01 | Port Vale F.C. vs Blackpool F.C. | 5–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Blackpool F.C. vs Port Vale F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Blackpool F.C. (54% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Blackpool F.C. vs Port Vale F.C. kick off?
- Tue, 17 Mar 2026 19:45 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
- What is the Blackpool F.C. vs Port Vale F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.00 goals per game.