Bolton Wanderers F.C.vs
Barnsley F.C.Bolton Wanderers F.C. 3-2 Barnsley F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
EFL League One 2025-2026Sat, 07 Feb 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Bolton Wanderers F.C.59%
- Bolton Wanderers F.C. 59%
- Draw 21%
- Barnsley F.C. 20%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Bolton Wanderers F.C., rating it at 58.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Bolton Wanderers F.C. won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 58.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 20.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Bolton Wanderers F.C.: LLDW
Barnsley F.C.: WWDLD
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 3.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | Bolton Wanderers F.C. vs Barnsley F.C. | 3–2 |
| 2025-08-16 | Barnsley F.C. vs Bolton Wanderers F.C. | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Bolton Wanderers F.C. vs Barnsley F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Bolton Wanderers F.C. (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Bolton Wanderers F.C. vs Barnsley F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 07 Feb 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
- What is the Bolton Wanderers F.C. vs Barnsley F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.50 goals per game.