Bolton Wanderers F.C. crestBolton Wanderers F.C.vsBurton Albion F.C. crestBurton Albion F.C.

Bolton Wanderers F.C. 2-1 Burton Albion F.C. — Result, H2H & Form

EFL League One 2025-2026Tue, 27 Jan 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Bolton Wanderers F.C.59%

  • Bolton Wanderers F.C. 59%
  • Draw 23%
  • Burton Albion F.C. 18%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Bolton Wanderers F.C., rating it at 58.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Bolton Wanderers F.C. won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 58.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 23.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

Bolton Wanderers F.C.: LLDW

Burton Albion F.C.: LWDLW

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-27Bolton Wanderers F.C. vs Burton Albion F.C.2–1
2025-10-11Burton Albion F.C. vs Bolton Wanderers F.C.3–0

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FAQ

Who will win Bolton Wanderers F.C. vs Burton Albion F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Bolton Wanderers F.C. (59% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Bolton Wanderers F.C. vs Burton Albion F.C. kick off?
Tue, 27 Jan 2026 19:45 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
What is the Bolton Wanderers F.C. vs Burton Albion F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

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