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Bolton Wanderers F.C. crestBolton Wanderers F.C.vsStockport County F.C. crestStockport County F.C.

Bolton Wanderers F.C. vs Stockport County F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats

EFL League One 2025-2026Mon, 06 Apr 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Bolton Wanderers F.C. 22 Stockport County F.C.

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Bolton Wanderers F.C.49%

Bolton Wanderers F.C. 49%
Draw 24%
Stockport County F.C. 28%
  • Bolton Wanderers F.C. 49%
  • Draw 24%
  • Stockport County F.C. 28%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Bolton Wanderers F.C., rating it at 48.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 3 times, and Bolton Wanderers F.C. won none of them. 3 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 48.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 23.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 3 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Bolton Wanderers F.C.: WDDWL

Stockport County F.C.: WWWLW

Head-to-head

  • 3Games
  • 3.67Avg goals
  • 67%Both scored
  • 67%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-24Bolton Wanderers F.C.(N) vs Stockport County F.C.4–1
2026-04-06Bolton Wanderers F.C. vs Stockport County F.C.2–2
2025-08-03Stockport County F.C. vs Bolton Wanderers F.C.2–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Bolton Wanderers F.C. vs Stockport County F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Bolton Wanderers F.C. (49% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Bolton Wanderers F.C. vs Stockport County F.C. kick off?
Mon, 06 Apr 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
What is the Bolton Wanderers F.C. vs Stockport County F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 3 meetings: 2 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.67 goals per game.

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