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Bradford City A.F.C. crestBradford City A.F.C.vsBolton Wanderers F.C. crestBolton Wanderers F.C.

Bradford City A.F.C. vs Bolton Wanderers F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats

EFL League One 2025-2026Sat, 25 Apr 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Bradford City A.F.C. 11 Bolton Wanderers F.C.

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Bradford City A.F.C.39%

Bradford City A.F.C. 39%
Draw 25%
Bolton Wanderers F.C. 36%
  • Bradford City A.F.C. 39%
  • Draw 25%
  • Bolton Wanderers F.C. 36%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Bradford City A.F.C., rating it at 38.5%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 4 times, and Bradford City A.F.C. won none of them. 4 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 38.5% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Bradford City A.F.C.'s last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. Bolton Wanderers F.C.'s 5 produced 10, at 2.0 per game.

The model puts the draw at 25.3%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 4 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Bradford City A.F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Bradford City A.F.C.: DWWLW

Bolton Wanderers F.C.: WDDWL

Head-to-head

  • 4Games
  • 1.00Avg goals
  • 25%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-05-14Bradford City A.F.C. vs Bolton Wanderers F.C.0–1
2026-05-09Bolton Wanderers F.C. vs Bradford City A.F.C.1–0
2026-04-25Bradford City A.F.C. vs Bolton Wanderers F.C.1–1
2025-11-22Bolton Wanderers F.C. vs Bradford City A.F.C.0–0

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Bradford City A.F.C. vs Bolton Wanderers F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Bradford City A.F.C. (39% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Bradford City A.F.C. vs Bolton Wanderers F.C. kick off?
Sat, 25 Apr 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
What is the Bradford City A.F.C. vs Bolton Wanderers F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 4 meetings: 1 home wins, 2 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.00 goals per game.

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