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Bradford City A.F.C. crestBradford City A.F.C.vsNorthampton Town F.C. crestNorthampton Town F.C.

Bradford City A.F.C. vs Northampton Town F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats

EFL League One 2025-2026Fri, 03 Apr 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Bradford City A.F.C. 10 Northampton Town F.C.

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Bradford City A.F.C.62%

Bradford City A.F.C. 62%
Draw 24%
Northampton Town F.C. 15%
  • Bradford City A.F.C. 62%
  • Draw 24%
  • Northampton Town F.C. 15%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Bradford City A.F.C., rating it at 61.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Bradford City A.F.C. won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 61.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Bradford City A.F.C.'s last 5 produced 21 goals — 4.2 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 4. Northampton Town F.C.'s 5 produced 13, at 2.6 per game.

The model puts the draw at 23.6%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Bradford City A.F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.2 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Bradford City A.F.C.: DWWLW

Northampton Town F.C.: WDWDL

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 0.50Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-03Bradford City A.F.C. vs Northampton Town F.C.1–0
2025-08-09Northampton Town F.C. vs Bradford City A.F.C.0–0

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FAQ

Who will win Bradford City A.F.C. vs Northampton Town F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Bradford City A.F.C. (62% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Bradford City A.F.C. vs Northampton Town F.C. kick off?
Fri, 03 Apr 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
What is the Bradford City A.F.C. vs Northampton Town F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 0.50 goals per game.

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