Burton Albion F.C.vs
Cardiff City F.C.Burton Albion F.C. 2-2 Cardiff City F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
EFL League One 2025-2026Sat, 31 Jan 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Cardiff City F.C.51%
- Burton Albion F.C. 26%
- Draw 23%
- Cardiff City F.C. 51%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Cardiff City F.C., rating it at 51.1%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Burton Albion F.C. won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 51.1% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Burton Albion F.C.: LWDLW
Cardiff City F.C.: DLDDW
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Burton Albion F.C. vs Cardiff City F.C. | 2–2 |
| 2025-09-30 | Cardiff City F.C. vs Burton Albion F.C. | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Burton Albion F.C. vs Cardiff City F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Cardiff City F.C. (51% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Burton Albion F.C. vs Cardiff City F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 31 Jan 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
- What is the Burton Albion F.C. vs Cardiff City F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 1 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.