Burton Albion F.C. crestBurton Albion F.C.vsExeter City F.C. crestExeter City F.C.

Burton Albion F.C. 1-1 Exeter City F.C. — Result, H2H & Form

EFL League One 2025-2026Sat, 25 Apr 2026 14:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Burton Albion F.C.45%

Tofiko45% / 26% / 30%
Market51% / 25% / 24%
  • Burton Albion F.C.
  • Draw
  • Exeter City F.C.

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Burton Albion F.C., rating it at 44.6% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Burton Albion F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

They arrive from very different football. Burton Albion F.C.'s last 5 produced 18 goals — 3.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Exeter City F.C.'s 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.

Recent form

As of 23 Sep 2026.

Burton Albion F.C.: DDLDW

Exeter City F.C.: DDLWD

Head-to-head

As of 23 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 2.00Avg goals
  • 100%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-04-25Burton Albion F.C. vs Exeter City F.C.1–1
2026-03-03Exeter City F.C. vs Burton Albion F.C.1–1

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FAQ

Who will win Burton Albion F.C. vs Exeter City F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Burton Albion F.C. (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Burton Albion F.C. vs Exeter City F.C. kick off?
Sat, 25 Apr 2026 14:00 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
What is the Burton Albion F.C. vs Exeter City F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legExeter City 1-1 Burton Albion3 Mar 2026 →