Burton Albion F.C.vs
Mansfield Town F.C.Burton Albion F.C. vs Mansfield Town F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
EFL League OneSat, 19 Sep 2026 11:30 GMTStatus: scheduled
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Mansfield Town F.C.43%
- Burton Albion F.C. 27%
- Draw 31%
- Mansfield Town F.C. 43%
Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)
Analysis
Both model families pick Mansfield Town F.C., rating it at 42.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Burton Albion F.C. won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 42.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Mansfield Town F.C.'s last 5 produced 27 goals — 5.4 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 4. Burton Albion F.C.'s 5 produced 7, at 1.4 per game.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Mansfield Town F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 5.4 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Burton Albion F.C.: WDLLD
Mansfield Town F.C.: LWLWW
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 1.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-06 | Mansfield Town F.C. vs Burton Albion F.C. | 0–0 |
| 2025-08-02 | Burton Albion F.C. vs Mansfield Town F.C. | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Burton Albion F.C. vs Mansfield Town F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Mansfield Town F.C. (43% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Burton Albion F.C. vs Mansfield Town F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 19 Sep 2026 11:30 GMT — EFL League One.
- What is the Burton Albion F.C. vs Mansfield Town F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.