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Burton Albion F.C. crestBurton Albion F.C.vsRotherham United F.C. crestRotherham United F.C.

Burton Albion F.C. vs Rotherham United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats

EFL League One 2025-2026Tue, 17 Feb 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Burton Albion F.C. 10 Rotherham United F.C.

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Burton Albion F.C.55%

Burton Albion F.C. 55%
Draw 25%
Rotherham United F.C. 20%
  • Burton Albion F.C. 55%
  • Draw 25%
  • Rotherham United F.C. 20%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Burton Albion F.C., rating it at 54.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Burton Albion F.C. won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 54.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 24.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Burton Albion F.C.: WDLLD

Rotherham United F.C.: DWLWD

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 2.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-02-17Burton Albion F.C. vs Rotherham United F.C.1–0
2025-11-04Rotherham United F.C. vs Burton Albion F.C.2–2

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Burton Albion F.C. vs Rotherham United F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Burton Albion F.C. (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Burton Albion F.C. vs Rotherham United F.C. kick off?
Tue, 17 Feb 2026 19:45 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
What is the Burton Albion F.C. vs Rotherham United F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.

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