Burton Albion F.C. vs Rotherham United F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
EFL League One 2025-2026Tue, 17 Feb 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Burton Albion F.C. 1–0 Rotherham United F.C.
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Burton Albion F.C.55%
- Burton Albion F.C. 55%
- Draw 25%
- Rotherham United F.C. 20%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Burton Albion F.C., rating it at 54.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Burton Albion F.C. won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 54.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Burton Albion F.C.: WDLLD
Rotherham United F.C.: DWLWD
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 2.50Avg goals
- 50%Both scored
- 50%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-17 | Burton Albion F.C. vs Rotherham United F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-11-04 | Rotherham United F.C. vs Burton Albion F.C. | 2–2 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Burton Albion F.C. vs Rotherham United F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Burton Albion F.C. (55% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Burton Albion F.C. vs Rotherham United F.C. kick off?
- Tue, 17 Feb 2026 19:45 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
- What is the Burton Albion F.C. vs Rotherham United F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.50 goals per game.