Cardiff City F.C.vs
Port Vale F.C.Cardiff City F.C. vs Port Vale F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
EFL League One 2025-2026Wed, 22 Apr 2026 18:45 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Cardiff City F.C. 1–0 Port Vale F.C.
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Cardiff City F.C.71%
- Cardiff City F.C. 71%
- Draw 19%
- Port Vale F.C. 10%
The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.
Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Cardiff City F.C., rating it at 71.3%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Cardiff City F.C. won 1 of 2, with 1 drawn. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 71.3% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
They arrive from very different football. Cardiff City F.C.'s last 5 produced 33 goals — 6.6 per game; they scored in 4 of them and conceded in 5. Port Vale F.C.'s 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.
The model puts the draw at 18.8%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Cardiff City F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 6.6 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Cardiff City F.C.: WWWLL
Port Vale F.C.: LWWDW
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 0.50Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-22 | Cardiff City F.C. vs Port Vale F.C. | 1–0 |
| 2025-08-07 | Port Vale F.C. vs Cardiff City F.C. | 0–0 |
See today's predictions across every covered league →
FAQ
- Who will win Cardiff City F.C. vs Port Vale F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Cardiff City F.C. (71% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Cardiff City F.C. vs Port Vale F.C. kick off?
- Wed, 22 Apr 2026 18:45 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
- What is the Cardiff City F.C. vs Port Vale F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 0.50 goals per game.