Cardiff City F.C.vs
Stockport County F.C.Cardiff City F.C. 1-1 Stockport County F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
EFL League One 2025-2026Sat, 24 Jan 2026 12:30 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Cardiff City F.C.56%
- Cardiff City F.C. 56%
- Draw 21%
- Stockport County F.C. 23%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick Cardiff City F.C., rating it at 55.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Cardiff City F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 55.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 21.5%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Stockport County F.C.'s games are very high-scoring at 4.8 goals — more goals means more variance and less predictability.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 1 Sep 2026.
Cardiff City F.C.: DLDDW
Stockport County F.C.: WLWWD
Head-to-head
As of 1 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 2.00Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | Cardiff City F.C. vs Stockport County F.C. | 1–1 |
| 2025-09-13 | Stockport County F.C. vs Cardiff City F.C. | 1–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Cardiff City F.C. vs Stockport County F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Cardiff City F.C. (56% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Cardiff City F.C. vs Stockport County F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 24 Jan 2026 12:30 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
- What is the Cardiff City F.C. vs Stockport County F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 2 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 2.00 goals per game.