AFC Wimbledonvs
Exeter City F.C.AFC Wimbledon 0-1 Exeter City F.C. — Result, H2H & Form
EFL League One 2025-2026Mon, 29 Dec 2025 19:45 GMTStatus: finished
Tofiko prediction
Model backs AFC Wimbledon42%
- AFC Wimbledon 42%
- Draw 25%
- Exeter City F.C. 33%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.
Analysis
Both model families pick AFC Wimbledon, rating it at 41.7%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and AFC Wimbledon won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 41.7% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 24.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
As of 2 Sep 2026.
AFC Wimbledon: WLDDL
Exeter City F.C.: DLWLL
Head-to-head
As of 2 Sep 2026.
- 2Games
- 1.00Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-29 | AFC Wimbledon vs Exeter City F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-12-09 | Exeter City F.C. vs AFC Wimbledon | 1–0 |
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FAQ
- Who will win AFC Wimbledon vs Exeter City F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours AFC Wimbledon (42% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does AFC Wimbledon vs Exeter City F.C. kick off?
- Mon, 29 Dec 2025 19:45 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
- What is the AFC Wimbledon vs Exeter City F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 1.00 goals per game.