Exeter City F.C.vs
Bolton Wanderers F.C.Exeter City F.C. vs Bolton Wanderers F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
EFL League One 2025-2026Sat, 28 Feb 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Exeter City F.C. 1–5 Bolton Wanderers F.C.
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Bolton Wanderers F.C.45%
- Exeter City F.C. 30%
- Draw 25%
- Bolton Wanderers F.C. 45%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Bolton Wanderers F.C., rating it at 44.8%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Exeter City F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 44.8% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 25.1%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Exeter City F.C.: DLWLL
Bolton Wanderers F.C.: WDDWL
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 4.50Avg goals
- 100%Both scored
- 100%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Exeter City F.C. vs Bolton Wanderers F.C. | 1–5 |
| 2025-12-13 | Bolton Wanderers F.C. vs Exeter City F.C. | 2–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Exeter City F.C. vs Bolton Wanderers F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Bolton Wanderers F.C. (45% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Exeter City F.C. vs Bolton Wanderers F.C. kick off?
- Sat, 28 Feb 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
- What is the Exeter City F.C. vs Bolton Wanderers F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 0 draws, 1 away wins, averaging 4.50 goals per game.