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Exeter City F.C. crestExeter City F.C.vsLeyton Orient F.C. crestLeyton Orient F.C.

Exeter City F.C. vs Leyton Orient F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats

EFL League One 2025-2026Sat, 28 Mar 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Exeter City F.C. 00 Leyton Orient F.C.

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Exeter City F.C.44%

Exeter City F.C. 44%
Draw 24%
Leyton Orient F.C. 32%
  • Exeter City F.C. 44%
  • Draw 24%
  • Leyton Orient F.C. 32%
Market implied probability

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Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Exeter City F.C., rating it at 43.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Exeter City F.C. won none of them. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 43.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

They arrive from very different football. Leyton Orient F.C.'s last 5 produced 19 goals — 3.8 per game; they scored in 5 of them and conceded in 5. Exeter City F.C.'s 5 produced 11, at 2.2 per game.

The model puts the draw at 24.0%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • The head-to-head record doesn't support the forecast: 2 games, no win for the side we back.
  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Exeter City F.C.: DLWLL

Leyton Orient F.C.: WWLDL

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 1.50Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-28Exeter City F.C. vs Leyton Orient F.C.0–0
2025-11-15Leyton Orient F.C. vs Exeter City F.C.2–1

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FAQ

Who will win Exeter City F.C. vs Leyton Orient F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Exeter City F.C. (44% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Exeter City F.C. vs Leyton Orient F.C. kick off?
Sat, 28 Mar 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
What is the Exeter City F.C. vs Leyton Orient F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 1 home wins, 1 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 1.50 goals per game.

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