Exeter City F.C. vs Lincoln City F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats
EFL League One 2025-2026Tue, 10 Mar 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: finished
Final: Exeter City F.C. 0–1 Lincoln City F.C.
Tofiko prediction
Model backs Lincoln City F.C.58%
- Exeter City F.C. 19%
- Draw 23%
- Lincoln City F.C. 58%
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Create a free accountModel families: agree (goals models + Elo)
✓ Model called this one correctly.
Analysis
Both model families pick Lincoln City F.C., rating it at 57.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.
The two have met 2 times, and Exeter City F.C. won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 57.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.
The model puts the draw at 22.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.
This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.
What to keep in mind
- Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.
Recent form
Exeter City F.C.: DLWLL
Lincoln City F.C.: LWLLL
Head-to-head
- 2Games
- 1.00Avg goals
- 0%Both scored
- 0%Over 2.5
| Date | Match | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-10 | Exeter City F.C. vs Lincoln City F.C. | 0–1 |
| 2025-10-04 | Lincoln City F.C. vs Exeter City F.C. | 0–1 |
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FAQ
- Who will win Exeter City F.C. vs Lincoln City F.C.?
- Tofiko's model favours Lincoln City F.C. (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
- What time does Exeter City F.C. vs Lincoln City F.C. kick off?
- Tue, 10 Mar 2026 19:45 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
- What is the Exeter City F.C. vs Lincoln City F.C. head-to-head record?
- In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.00 goals per game.