?
Exeter City F.C. crestExeter City F.C.vsLincoln City F.C. crestLincoln City F.C.

Exeter City F.C. vs Lincoln City F.C. Prediction, H2H & Stats

EFL League One 2025-2026Tue, 10 Mar 2026 19:45 GMTStatus: finished

Final: Exeter City F.C. 01 Lincoln City F.C.

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Lincoln City F.C.58%

Exeter City F.C. 19%
Draw 23%
Lincoln City F.C. 58%
  • Exeter City F.C. 19%
  • Draw 23%
  • Lincoln City F.C. 58%
Market implied probability

The de-vigged market number is a PRO feature — free to start, PRO unlocks it.

Create a free account

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Lincoln City F.C., rating it at 57.9%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Exeter City F.C. won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 57.9% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

The model puts the draw at 22.9%. Our own measurements show it tends to under-rate draws, so it's worth treating that figure as a floor.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

Exeter City F.C.: DLWLL

Lincoln City F.C.: LWLLL

Head-to-head

  • 2Games
  • 1.00Avg goals
  • 0%Both scored
  • 0%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-10Exeter City F.C. vs Lincoln City F.C.0–1
2025-10-04Lincoln City F.C. vs Exeter City F.C.0–1

See today's predictions across every covered league →

FAQ

Who will win Exeter City F.C. vs Lincoln City F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Lincoln City F.C. (58% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Exeter City F.C. vs Lincoln City F.C. kick off?
Tue, 10 Mar 2026 19:45 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
What is the Exeter City F.C. vs Lincoln City F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 0 home wins, 0 draws, 2 away wins, averaging 1.00 goals per game.

More predictions

18+ · Please gamble responsibly. Predictions are analysis, not betting advice.