Exeter City F.C. crestExeter City F.C.vsLuton Town F.C. crestLuton Town F.C.

Exeter City F.C. 1-0 Luton Town F.C. — Result, H2H & Form

EFL League One 2025-2026Thu, 01 Jan 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Luton Town F.C.39%

Tofiko36% / 25% / 39%
Market25% / 28% / 47%
  • Exeter City F.C.
  • Draw
  • Luton Town F.C.

Our number and the market's own, side by side. Where they differ most, our record has been worst, so a difference is not a tip.

Model families: agree (goals models + Elo)

✗ Model missed this one — see our track record.

See today's picks

Analysis

Both model families pick Luton Town F.C., rating it at 39.3% — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Exeter City F.C. won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast.

Recent form

As of 23 Sep 2026.

Exeter City F.C.: DDLWD

Luton Town F.C.: WLLDW

Head-to-head

As of 23 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 50%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-03-17Luton Town F.C. vs Exeter City F.C.3–2
2026-01-01Exeter City F.C. vs Luton Town F.C.1–0

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FAQ

Who will win Exeter City F.C. vs Luton Town F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Luton Town F.C. (39% probability), with both model families in agreement.
What time does Exeter City F.C. vs Luton Town F.C. kick off?
Thu, 01 Jan 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
What is the Exeter City F.C. vs Luton Town F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

More predictions

Line-ups are not included; check them an hour before kick-off.

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First legLuton 3-2 Exeter City17 Mar 2026 →