Exeter City F.C. crestExeter City F.C.vsStevenage F.C. crestStevenage F.C.

Exeter City F.C. 3-0 Stevenage F.C. — Result, H2H & Form

EFL League One 2025-2026Sat, 17 Jan 2026 15:00 GMTStatus: finished

Tofiko prediction

Model backs Exeter City F.C.36%

  • Exeter City F.C. 36%
  • Draw 28%
  • Stevenage F.C. 36%
Market implied probability

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Model families: split (goals models vs Elo)

✓ Model called this one correctly.

See today's picks

Analysis

Our model families split, but the ensemble picks Exeter City F.C., rating it at 36.2%. That figure comes from league-wide form and scoring, not from anything specific to this fixture — a consensus worth weighing, not a certainty.

The two have met 2 times, and Exeter City F.C. won 1 of 2. 2 games is too small a sample to build on, so it doesn't feed the forecast — the 36.2% comes from league-wide form, not from this pairing.

This forecast doesn't account for line-ups, injuries or suspensions. It's a statistical read of form, scoring and league strength.

What to keep in mind

  • Line-ups are confirmed around an hour before kick-off and aren't reflected here.

Recent form

As of 1 Sep 2026.

Exeter City F.C.: DLWLL

Stevenage F.C.: DDLLD

Head-to-head

As of 1 Sep 2026.

  • 2Games
  • 3.00Avg goals
  • 50%Both scored
  • 100%Over 2.5
DateMatchScore
2026-01-17Exeter City F.C. vs Stevenage F.C.3–0
2025-09-20Stevenage F.C. vs Exeter City F.C.2–1

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FAQ

Who will win Exeter City F.C. vs Stevenage F.C.?
Tofiko's model favours Exeter City F.C. (36% probability), though our model families split on this one.
What time does Exeter City F.C. vs Stevenage F.C. kick off?
Sat, 17 Jan 2026 15:00 GMT — EFL League One 2025-2026.
What is the Exeter City F.C. vs Stevenage F.C. head-to-head record?
In their last 2 meetings: 2 home wins, 0 draws, 0 away wins, averaging 3.00 goals per game.

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